This paper analyses the impact of various assumptions about the association between aggregate default probabilities and the loss given default on bank loans and corporate bonds, and seeks to empirically explain this critical relationship. Moreover, it simulates the effects of this relationship on the procyclicality of mandatory capital requirements like those proposed in 2001 by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. We present the analysis and results in four distinct sections.

SIMILAR POSTS

  • 1 May 2025

    Key Credit Risks From the IMF’s Global Financial Stability Report

    Lending Into Fragility: Key Risks From the IMF’s Global Financial Stability Report For lenders navigating deteriorating credit conditions, the IMF’s [...]

  • 16 January 2025

    Defaults and Recoveries: Navigating Risk in Private Credit

    When it comes to understanding credit risk, many models assume that defaults and recovery rates are independent. However, deeper [...]

  • 14 January 2025

    Default Rates: 2025 Private Debt Forecasts 

    Default Rates: An In-Depth Look at 2025 Private Debt Forecasts Private debt defaults often involve complexities that go beyond [...]